Sol de América vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
40.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sol de América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
IND
1 - 1
AME
35%
27%
38%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
RÑU
0 - 0
AME
36%
27%
37%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
AME
1 - 3
CAR
68%
20%
12%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
CER
0 - 1
AME
39%
27%
34%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
AME
1 - 1
OLI
36%
26%
38%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
LIB
1 - 1
OLI
47%
26%
27%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2012 |
GUA
0 - 2
LIB
39%
27%
34%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
LIB
2 - 2
TAC
76%
17%
7%
|
80 | 60 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
NAC
1 - 2
LIB
41%
27%
32%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
LQE
0 - 2
LIB
29%
26%
45%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |