Sogndal vs Stabæk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
38.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
2º
14º
7º
13
6º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
29 | 65 |
1º
|
89% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 52 |
2º
|
29.5% | |
|
3º
|
22 | 50 |
3º
|
20.5% | |
|
4º
|
21 | 48 |
4º
|
16.5% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 44 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 44 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
20 | 42 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 41 |
8º
|
9.5% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 40 |
9º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 39 |
10º
|
9% | |
|
|
14º
|
13 | 38 |
11º
|
8.5% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 38 |
12º
|
16.5% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 38 |
13º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 37 |
14º
|
17.5% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 23 |
15º
|
43.5% | |
|
15º
|
7 | 20 |
16º
|
55% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
3% | 0.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
31% | 22% |
|
Mid-table
|
61% | 64.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
5% | 11% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 2% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sogndal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
LSK
0 - 0
SOG
72%
18%
9%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
SOG
1 - 2
LYN
42%
25%
33%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2025 |
SKE
1 - 4
SOG
31%
25%
44%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
KON
4 - 2
SOG
60%
22%
19%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2025 |
SOG
2 - 2
RAU
47%
25%
28%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Stabæk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
STB
1 - 2
RAN
56%
23%
22%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2025 |
STB
2 - 2
KRI
35%
24%
41%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
IKS
5 - 1
STB
43%
24%
33%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2025 |
STB
1 - 3
EGE
55%
23%
23%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
ELP
2 - 2
STB
40%
25%
35%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |