Sogndal II vs Hønefoss analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.1%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.4%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
70.9%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8%
1-4
5%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.5%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.2%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
6º
13º
13º
73
1º
3º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
73 | 73 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sogndal II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
FVI
3 - 2
SOF
74%
15%
11%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2023 |
SOF
3 - 3
HOD
17%
17%
66%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
SOF
0 - 3
OTF
29%
22%
49%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
FYL
5 - 1
SOF
83%
11%
6%
|
21 | 45 | 24 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
SOF
1 - 11
FRI
12%
17%
71%
|
23 | 44 | 21 | -2 |
Matches
Hønefoss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2023 |
HON
2 - 1
RAU
76%
15%
10%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2023 |
BRU
0 - 2
HON
36%
23%
41%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
GRO
2 - 0
HON
74%
16%
11%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
MJO
2 - 1
HON
79%
14%
7%
|
37 | 60 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
HON
1 - 4
FLO
38%
25%
37%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -2 |