Sofia 2010 vs Chepinets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.3%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.4%
76.8%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
10%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.3%
0-4
6.6%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
9.8%
0-5
3.5%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.8%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sofia 2010
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
SEP
5 - 0
SOF
86%
10%
4%
|
10 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
SOF
2 - 5
STR
12%
19%
69%
|
11 | 28 | 17 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2015 |
FKM
3 - 1
SOF
87%
9%
3%
|
11 | 42 | 31 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2015 |
SOF
1 - 2
PIR
9%
16%
75%
|
12 | 37 | 25 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
BAL
0 - 2
SOF
86%
9%
4%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Chepinets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
CHE
2 - 2
CHI
51%
21%
28%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
VEL
0 - 1
CHE
47%
23%
30%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2015 |
CHE
2 - 2
BOT
78%
14%
9%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2015 |
FKV
6 - 1
CHE
75%
17%
8%
|
26 | 47 | 21 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
SEP
2 - 2
CHE
31%
24%
45%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |