SG Lucense vs UD Orensana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.4%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.9%
17.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SG Lucense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 1950 |
GIM
1 - 1
SGL
68%
16%
16%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1950 |
SGL
3 - 0
GIR
49%
21%
30%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 1950 |
SPO
7 - 0
SGL
74%
14%
12%
|
50 | 74 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1950 |
SGL
0 - 1
BAR
50%
21%
30%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 1950 |
NUM
2 - 1
SGL
59%
19%
22%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
UD Orensana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 1950 |
ORE
4 - 1
BAD
50%
21%
29%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1950 |
HUE
3 - 3
ORE
64%
18%
18%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1950 |
ORE
0 - 1
OVI
43%
24%
33%
|
49 | 73 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1950 |
LOG
5 - 0
ORE
67%
17%
16%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 1950 |
ORE
5 - 1
OSA
47%
22%
32%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +2 |