SG Lucense vs Real Avilés Industrial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.7%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.5%
21.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SG Lucense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1949 |
CAU
0 - 0
SGL
55%
20%
26%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1949 |
PON
2 - 1
SGL
56%
19%
25%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 1949 |
BER
5 - 2
SGL
41%
21%
38%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | -2 |
| 06 Feb. 1949 |
SGL
2 - 1
SAN
78%
12%
10%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1949 |
ORE
4 - 0
SGL
53%
20%
27%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Real Avilés Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1949 |
AVI
2 - 1
CUL
71%
15%
14%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1949 |
ARO
5 - 2
AVI
61%
18%
21%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -2 |
| 27 Feb. 1949 |
AVI
1 - 2
POP
70%
16%
14%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1949 |
RJU
0 - 0
AVI
43%
22%
35%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 1949 |
AVI
4 - 0
JUV
81%
11%
8%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | +1 |