SG Lucense vs Celta Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.7%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.8%
13.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SG Lucense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1946 |
LEM
0 - 2
SGL
37%
22%
41%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1946 |
SGL
4 - 2
BER
60%
19%
21%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 1946 |
GAF
1 - 3
SGL
34%
22%
44%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1946 |
SGL
0 - 1
PON
68%
17%
15%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 1946 |
ORE
3 - 1
SGL
69%
16%
15%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Celta Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1946 |
CEL
1 - 0
ORE
42%
23%
36%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1946 |
LEM
1 - 2
CEL
55%
21%
24%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 1946 |
CEL
2 - 0
BET
71%
16%
13%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1946 |
BER
2 - 0
CEL
68%
17%
15%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -2 |
| 08 Sep. 1946 |
CEL
1 - 2
JUV
57%
20%
24%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -2 |