Social vs Poços de Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.7%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
24.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Social
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
FEC
3 - 3
SOC
35%
25%
40%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
SOC
4 - 2
TRI
45%
25%
30%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2012 |
SOC
0 - 1
PDC
49%
25%
26%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
4 - 0
SOC
76%
16%
9%
|
45 | 63 | 18 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
TOM
2 - 1
SOC
50%
24%
26%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Poços de Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
TRI
2 - 1
PDC
44%
25%
31%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
PDC
0 - 1
TOM
31%
25%
43%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2012 |
SOC
0 - 1
PDC
49%
25%
26%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
FEC
1 - 1
PDC
43%
25%
32%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
PDC
0 - 1
15%
20%
64%
|
42 | 62 | 20 | -1 |