Sochi Reservas vs FK Orenburg Reservas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.1%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.6%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.5%
5.3%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+57%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
5º
8º
6º
1
10º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
22 | 22 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
21 | 21 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
19 | 19 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
16 | 16 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
13 | 13 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
11 | 11 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 10 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 10 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 10 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
1 | 1 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sochi Reservas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
NIZ
0 - 1
SCH
20%
21%
59%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
SCH
1 - 2
KSS
66%
18%
16%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2023 |
UMO
1 - 1
SCH
13%
17%
70%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
SCH
2 - 2
TOR
58%
20%
21%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2022 |
SCH
3 - 1
FRE
40%
23%
38%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +3 |
Matches
FK Orenburg Reservas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
ORE
0 - 1
FRE
12%
17%
71%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
TER
4 - 0
ORE
77%
15%
8%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2023 |
ORE
1 - 2
FKK
18%
19%
63%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2023 |
KUB
4 - 1
ORE
87%
9%
4%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2022 |
ORE
4 - 0
NIZ
15%
19%
66%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | +2 |