Sochaux vs Evian Thonon Gaillard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
26.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sochaux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
SOC
3 - 1
TRO
62%
23%
16%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
ASS
0 - 1
SOC
55%
24%
20%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
SOC
1 - 3
MPL
33%
27%
40%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
REI
1 - 0
SOC
37%
26%
37%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 0
SOC
68%
19%
12%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Evian Thonon Gaillard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 0
ETG
69%
19%
12%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
ETG
3 - 0
BAS
63%
21%
16%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
AJA
2 - 0
ETG
33%
27%
40%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2012 |
ETG
1 - 1
LYO
22%
24%
54%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
BRE
1 - 0
ETG
38%
27%
34%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |