Sobradinho vs Formosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.7%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
10.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sobradinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2012 |
GAM
1 - 2
SOB
28%
24%
49%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
SOB
0 - 2
CAP
79%
14%
7%
|
62 | 33 | 29 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
BAN
3 - 5
SOB
10%
17%
73%
|
59 | 7 | 52 | +3 |
| 05 Mar. 2005 |
SOB
2 - 2
CEI
67%
19%
14%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
CFZ
2 - 1
SOB
12%
19%
69%
|
59 | 37 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Formosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
FOR
3 - 0
LEG
48%
24%
28%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2012 |
BRA
6 - 1
FOR
70%
19%
11%
|
45 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
FOR
0 - 4
SEC
49%
25%
26%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -2 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
SAO
3 - 3
FOR
50%
24%
26%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
FOR
1 - 0
VIL
32%
27%
41%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | +1 |