Sobradinho vs Ceilândia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.8%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
12.8%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sobradinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
SOB
0 - 3
CEN
64%
21%
15%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2012 |
CEI
1 - 1
SOB
33%
26%
41%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
APA
1 - 0
SOB
32%
25%
43%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2012 |
SOB
0 - 0
CRA
62%
21%
17%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
BSE
3 - 2
SOB
15%
20%
65%
|
61 | 38 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
Ceilândia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
CRA
2 - 2
CEI
57%
23%
20%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2012 |
CEI
1 - 1
SOB
33%
26%
41%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
CEI
3 - 2
CEN
45%
25%
30%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2012 |
APA
0 - 1
CEI
64%
20%
16%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
CEI
0 - 1
LUZ
64%
20%
16%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -1 |