Sobradinho vs Ceilandense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.9%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.1%
9.1%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sobradinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
CEI
1 - 0
SOB
28%
23%
48%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
SOB
5 - 1
FOR
72%
18%
11%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2012 |
GAM
1 - 2
SOB
28%
24%
49%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
SOB
0 - 2
CAP
79%
14%
7%
|
62 | 33 | 29 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
BAN
3 - 5
SOB
10%
17%
73%
|
59 | 7 | 52 | +3 |
Matches
Ceilandense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
CEI
0 - 5
CEI
68%
19%
13%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
CEI
1 - 1
LEG
53%
23%
24%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
LUZ
3 - 2
CEI
44%
25%
31%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -2 |
| 16 Feb. 2012 |
CEI
3 - 3
BDF
40%
25%
35%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
CEI
0 - 0
FOR
35%
25%
40%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |