Sober CD vs Sporting Lucense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
43.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+192%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sober CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
SRO
4 - 0
SOB
73%
16%
11%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
SOB
0 - 0
PRA
46%
23%
31%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
QUI
1 - 0
SOB
39%
24%
38%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
SOB
0 - 1
RSI
48%
23%
29%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
ARE
0 - 1
SOB
45%
23%
32%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Lucense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
SLU
1 - 0
SAN
52%
22%
26%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
SLU
2 - 0
LAJ
47%
23%
31%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
SRO
3 - 0
SLU
67%
18%
15%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
SLU
2 - 0
PRA
52%
22%
27%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
QUI
0 - 0
SLU
51%
22%
27%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |