SO Soest vs AFC '34 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.1%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
48.1%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SO Soest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
DEM
3 - 3
SOE
59%
19%
22%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
SOE
1 - 1
ALP
13%
16%
71%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
VSV
2 - 1
SOE
53%
22%
26%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
SOE
2 - 2
WOE
38%
23%
40%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
HOO
2 - 1
SOE
71%
17%
12%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
AFC '34
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
AFC
1 - 1
HOO
36%
25%
39%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
QUI
1 - 3
AFC
28%
21%
51%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
ALP
3 - 2
AFC
70%
17%
13%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
AFC
0 - 2
DEM
74%
16%
11%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
VSV
2 - 0
AFC
24%
21%
56%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | -2 |