SNL vs WBC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
31.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SNL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2013 |
EXC
4 - 2
SNL
53%
22%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
SNL
0 - 1
VIC
49%
23%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2013 |
SNL
6 - 2
RAN
46%
24%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
NOT
4 - 2
SNL
45%
25%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2013 |
SNL
1 - 3
TRA
48%
24%
28%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
WBC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2013 |
WBC
4 - 1
RHO
51%
22%
27%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
NOT
4 - 1
WBC
44%
24%
33%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
VIC
3 - 4
WBC
56%
21%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
WBC
1 - 1
INT
53%
22%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
WBC
5 - 1
BOS
52%
22%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |