SNL vs Transvaal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
25.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+61%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SNL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2017 |
INT
3 - 1
SNL
54%
22%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
SNL
1 - 1
NIS
49%
21%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2017 |
SNL
1 - 2
WBC
41%
22%
37%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
NOT
2 - 0
SNL
52%
23%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
BOT
0 - 1
SNL
48%
21%
31%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Transvaal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2017 |
VIC
2 - 0
TRA
57%
22%
21%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
TRA
6 - 2
JRA
51%
22%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
VOO
0 - 2
TRA
51%
24%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
TRA
2 - 1
BOT
49%
21%
30%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
NIS
1 - 1
TRA
48%
23%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |