SNL vs Santos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.6%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
36.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SNL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2019 |
SNL
1 - 2
PVV
25%
22%
53%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
SNL
0 - 2
TRA
17%
22%
60%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | -2 |
| 06 Jul. 2019 |
SNL
2 - 0
ACO
62%
19%
20%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 2019 |
SNL
2 - 2
RHO
8%
15%
78%
|
32 | 55 | 23 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2019 |
SNL
6 - 1
BOT
57%
20%
23%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Santos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
SFC
0 - 0
RHO
8%
15%
77%
|
33 | 55 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
SFC
3 - 1
PAP
48%
21%
32%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2019 |
NOT
2 - 2
SFC
61%
19%
20%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2019 |
VIC
4 - 1
SFC
81%
13%
6%
|
32 | 50 | 18 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2019 |
SFC
1 - 1
WBC
21%
18%
61%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | 0 |