SNL vs PVV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.2%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
30.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SNL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2018 |
WBC
4 - 2
SNL
60%
20%
20%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
SNL
0 - 3
INT
44%
23%
33%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2018 |
SNL
1 - 2
TRA
50%
24%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
NOT
2 - 0
SNL
49%
23%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
VIC
3 - 1
SNL
53%
22%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
PVV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2018 |
PVV
1 - 2
TRA
56%
21%
24%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
PVV
1 - 0
PAP
44%
21%
36%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2018 |
PVV
5 - 2
NIS
50%
21%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2018 |
RHO
2 - 1
PVV
61%
19%
21%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
PVV
3 - 2
VIC
51%
21%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |