SNL vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.3%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
13%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13%
5.7%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SNL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
PEU
0 - 1
SNL
28%
24%
47%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2008 |
DES
1 - 1
SNL
24%
24%
53%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
SNL
0 - 1
KAM
42%
25%
33%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
TBR
1 - 2
SNL
40%
25%
36%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2008 |
ROY
2 - 0
SNL
26%
24%
50%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2008 |
PSV
2 - 4
SJH
11%
18%
71%
|
9 | 36 | 27 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2008 |
ELI
3 - 1
PSV
83%
12%
5%
|
9 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2008 |
PSV
3 - 6
DES
23%
23%
54%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
PEU
6 - 1
PSV
81%
13%
6%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2008 |
PSV
0 - 2
YOR
12%
19%
69%
|
10 | 33 | 23 | 0 |