SNL vs Notch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
39.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SNL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
SFC
0 - 1
SNL
33%
22%
45%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2019 |
PVV
4 - 1
SNL
62%
20%
19%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -2 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
TRA
3 - 2
SNL
79%
14%
7%
|
33 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
ACO
0 - 2
SNL
65%
18%
17%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
BOT
0 - 1
SNL
49%
22%
29%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Notch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
WUN
3 - 1
NOT
21%
22%
57%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
NOT
2 - 0
PAP
77%
14%
9%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
NOT
1 - 1
PVV
51%
22%
26%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
SFC
1 - 1
NOT
20%
20%
60%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
NOT
1 - 0
NIS
76%
14%
10%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | 0 |