SNL vs Nishan '42 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.5%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
30.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SNL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2017 |
SNL
1 - 2
WBC
41%
22%
37%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
NOT
2 - 0
SNL
52%
23%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
BOT
0 - 1
SNL
48%
21%
31%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2017 |
SNL
1 - 0
PVV
29%
22%
50%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | +10 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
VIC
5 - 0
SNL
56%
22%
22%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -9 |
Matches
Nishan '42
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2017 |
NIS
1 - 1
PVV
46%
23%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
JRA
1 - 2
NIS
45%
22%
33%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
NIS
1 - 1
TRA
48%
23%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
VIC
1 - 1
NIS
54%
20%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
NIS
1 - 2
INT
19%
21%
61%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | -10 |