SNL vs Fortuna 75 Lelydorp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
10.3%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SNL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
SNL
3 - 2
SJH
53%
23%
24%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2010 |
NOT
2 - 0
SNL
38%
25%
37%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2010 |
RES
2 - 1
SNL
21%
23%
57%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | -2 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
SNL
1 - 2
DES
68%
19%
14%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
FCS
1 - 4
SNL
48%
23%
29%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Fortuna 75 Lelydorp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
TAK
3 - 1
FOR
70%
17%
13%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2010 |
FOR
5 - 1
INR
43%
23%
34%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
FOR
0 - 2
RAN
32%
23%
45%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
TAM
7 - 3
FOR
72%
16%
12%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
FOR
0 - 2
NOT
32%
23%
45%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | -1 |