SNL vs Santos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.9%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.9%
12.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SNL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
WUN
1 - 0
SNL
33%
22%
45%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2016 |
VOO
1 - 0
SNL
63%
20%
17%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2016 |
SNL
3 - 1
AFC
81%
12%
7%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2016 |
BOM
0 - 2
SNL
32%
24%
45%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2016 |
SNL
1 - 0
PVV
83%
11%
6%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Santos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2016 |
AFC
1 - 4
SFC
40%
22%
39%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
SFC
0 - 1
VOO
19%
20%
62%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
JRA
2 - 2
SFC
78%
13%
9%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
SFC
1 - 2
DEV
22%
20%
58%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
SFC
0 - 2
WUN
46%
22%
32%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | -1 |