SNL vs Santos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.7%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.8%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.4%
5.8%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-237%
+141%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SNL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
DES
1 - 2
SNL
24%
22%
54%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
ACO
0 - 3
SNL
36%
24%
40%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2012 |
SNL
1 - 0
TAK
45%
23%
32%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
INR
1 - 2
SNL
30%
23%
47%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2012 |
TAM
1 - 2
SNL
25%
22%
53%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Santos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
SFC
2 - 4
RAN
16%
20%
64%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
RES
3 - 2
SFC
54%
22%
24%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
SFC
2 - 3
TAM
36%
23%
41%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
SFC
1 - 2
BOM
16%
21%
63%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
TBR
1 - 3
SFC
73%
16%
11%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | +1 |