SNL vs Excelsior Meerzorg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.7%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
28.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SNL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
VIC
2 - 2
SNL
58%
21%
21%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2012 |
RAN
2 - 6
SNL
52%
23%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
SNL
0 - 1
NOT
48%
24%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2012 |
TRA
2 - 3
SNL
49%
24%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2012 |
SNL
3 - 0
BOS
46%
23%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior Meerzorg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
BOS
2 - 0
EXC
45%
24%
32%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
EXC
1 - 6
INT
52%
22%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
VIC
1 - 2
EXC
55%
21%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
RHO
2 - 0
EXC
52%
22%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
EXC
5 - 1
RAN
51%
22%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |