SNL vs Excelsior Meerzorg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
37.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SNL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2001 |
DEF
3 - 1
SNL
80%
13%
7%
|
37 | 61 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2001 |
SNL
0 - 0
ROU
33%
23%
44%
|
36 | 58 | 22 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2001 |
SNL
7 - 1
SVJ
44%
24%
32%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | +5 |
| 05 Aug. 2001 |
SVJ
1 - 3
SNL
72%
16%
11%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | +2 |