SNL vs Caravan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.7%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
15%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SNL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
SFC
1 - 1
SNL
15%
18%
68%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
SNL
0 - 1
WUN
74%
15%
11%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
AFC
0 - 1
SNL
14%
18%
68%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2016 |
SNL
3 - 0
BOM
64%
20%
17%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2015 |
SNL
1 - 0
VOO
39%
24%
37%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Caravan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
CAR
3 - 1
ACO
53%
21%
26%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
BOM
2 - 2
CAR
63%
19%
19%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 1
VOO
25%
22%
54%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
JRA
1 - 0
CAR
63%
19%
18%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
DEV
3 - 0
CAR
58%
21%
22%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |