Smorgon II vs Smena Vawkavysk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.9%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.2%
54.7%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+961%
+75%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
2º
5º
5º
7
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
7 | 16 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
6 | 13 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
4 | 8 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
4 | 8 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
3 | 3 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
1 | 2 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Smorgon II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2023 |
SMO
2 - 2
DYA
30%
20%
50%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
OSH
3 - 4
SMO
38%
21%
42%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
SMO
3 - 1
FSK
84%
10%
6%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
FNO
0 - 2
SMO
32%
21%
47%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
SMO
3 - 0
FKL
37%
22%
41%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Smena Vawkavysk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
NEM
0 - 5
SVA
34%
22%
45%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
SVA
6 - 0
SLC
71%
15%
14%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
CHZ
2 - 4
SVA
16%
18%
67%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
SVA
4 - 0
NEB
26%
19%
55%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | +3 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
FKS
3 - 1
SVA
60%
18%
21%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -1 |