Smolevichy vs Vitebsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.6%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
63.9%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Smolevichy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
SMO
9 - 2
KRU
92%
6%
2%
|
50 | 19 | 31 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2021 |
MOL
4 - 0
SMO
66%
19%
15%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
SMO
7 - 0
EDI
90%
7%
2%
|
52 | 25 | 27 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
FAL
4 - 3
SMO
17%
22%
61%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2021 |
KOL
2 - 0
SMO
22%
24%
55%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Vitebsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
VIT
0 - 0
FRB
28%
25%
47%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
SHA
2 - 0
VIT
60%
24%
17%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2021 |
VIT
5 - 0
FCS
72%
20%
8%
|
70 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2021 |
ISL
0 - 1
VIT
52%
25%
23%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
VIT
3 - 2
ZOR
40%
27%
33%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |