Smolevichy vs Molodechno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
37.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Smolevichy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2011 |
LID
4 - 1
SMO
45%
26%
30%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
SMO
0 - 1
PAR
46%
25%
29%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
SMO
3 - 1
KRU
72%
18%
10%
|
47 | 29 | 18 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
OSI
1 - 2
SMO
47%
24%
28%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
SMO
1 - 0
ZHL
64%
21%
15%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Molodechno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2011 |
MOL
5 - 0
OSI
76%
15%
9%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
NEM
0 - 0
MOL
33%
25%
42%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
BYA
0 - 3
MOL
39%
26%
36%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
MOL
3 - 6
FKG
27%
25%
49%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
BEL
3 - 1
MOL
35%
26%
40%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | -1 |