Smiltene vs Valmiera FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.6%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
61.9%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Smiltene
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
SMI
13 - 0
FKJ
85%
9%
6%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
SMI
1 - 1
STA
79%
12%
9%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
FKT
0 - 2
SMI
74%
15%
11%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
SMI
4 - 1
ALB
73%
15%
12%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +2 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
SMI
6 - 1
RCR
68%
16%
16%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Valmiera FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
VAL
5 - 0
RCR
87%
9%
4%
|
55 | 31 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
CAD
1 - 2
VAL
35%
24%
41%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
VAL
8 - 0
PRE
89%
8%
3%
|
55 | 24 | 31 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
AUD
1 - 0
VAL
38%
24%
38%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
VAL
1 - 2
BAB
37%
26%
37%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |