Smiltene vs Rigas FS II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.4%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
53.6%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
11º
14º
13º
63
1º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 14 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Smiltene
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
FSL
2 - 2
SMI
37%
21%
43%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
SMI
1 - 2
ALB
13%
20%
67%
|
33 | 63 | 30 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
SMI
0 - 3
SKA
27%
23%
50%
|
34 | 56 | 22 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
RIG
5 - 1
SMI
73%
17%
11%
|
34 | 71 | 37 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
SUP
2 - 3
SMI
85%
10%
5%
|
32 | 52 | 20 | +2 |
Matches
Rigas FS II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
RIG
3 - 1
PRA
71%
17%
13%
|
61 | 43 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
RIG
2 - 0
VAL
55%
22%
23%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
RIG
5 - 2
KFV
77%
15%
8%
|
60 | 34 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
RIG
6 - 0
TUK
69%
18%
13%
|
60 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
SUP
1 - 0
RIG
37%
23%
40%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |