Smiltene vs Rigas FS II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.4%
41.5%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Smiltene
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
VAL
5 - 0
SMI
75%
16%
9%
|
36 | 60 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
SMI
0 - 5
RIG
19%
21%
60%
|
36 | 64 | 28 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
SAL
9 - 2
SMI
29%
21%
50%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -3 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
SMI
0 - 3
PRA
30%
22%
47%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | -2 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
SKA
0 - 0
SMI
66%
20%
15%
|
40 | 57 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Rigas FS II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
RIG
0 - 1
ALB
22%
23%
54%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
DRS
1 - 6
RIG
65%
20%
15%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | +3 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
SAL
0 - 3
RIG
56%
22%
22%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | +2 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
GRO
2 - 3
RIG
82%
12%
6%
|
39 | 58 | 19 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
RIG
0 - 1
14%
20%
66%
|
40 | 66 | 26 | -1 |