Smiltene vs Riga FC II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
53.4%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
6º
11º
10º
7
7º
14º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
28 | 56 |
1º
|
86% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 47 |
2º
|
28% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 44 |
3º
|
23% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 44 |
4º
|
20.5% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 41 |
5º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 40 |
6º
|
14% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 37 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
7 | 36 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 35 |
9º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
16 | 34 |
10º
|
25% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 27 |
11º
|
22.5% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 25 |
12º
|
26% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 25 |
13º
|
25.5% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 15 |
14º
|
80.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
2% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
89.5% | 96% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
6.5% | 3% |
|
Relegation
|
2% | 1% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Smiltene
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
ALB
2 - 1
SMI
81%
14%
6%
|
33 | 64 | 31 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
SKA
0 - 3
SMI
68%
18%
14%
|
30 | 57 | 27 | +3 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
SMI
0 - 3
RIG
23%
22%
55%
|
31 | 72 | 41 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
SMI
0 - 4
SUP
13%
20%
67%
|
31 | 62 | 31 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
SMI
0 - 2
OUD
72%
15%
14%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Riga FC II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
RIG
1 - 1
FKB
78%
15%
8%
|
72 | 14 | 58 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
RIG
2 - 1
MAR
75%
16%
9%
|
72 | 39 | 33 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
SMI
0 - 3
RIG
23%
22%
55%
|
72 | 31 | 41 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
RIG
4 - 0
PRA
73%
17%
10%
|
71 | 46 | 25 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
VAL
2 - 2
RIG
27%
24%
49%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | 0 |