Smiltene vs Riga FC II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
58%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
4º
13º
12º
64
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
64 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Smiltene
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
RFA
1 - 2
SMI
57%
19%
24%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
SMI
1 - 4
FKB
63%
17%
21%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -2 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
DRS
1 - 1
SMI
58%
19%
23%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
SMI
0 - 3
TUK
44%
22%
34%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -2 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
SAL
4 - 1
SMI
67%
18%
15%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Riga FC II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
RIG
11 - 2
PRA
73%
17%
10%
|
69 | 44 | 25 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
SKA
1 - 0
RIG
27%
26%
48%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
RIG
3 - 0
ALB
61%
22%
17%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
RIG
1 - 2
RIG
27%
25%
48%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
RIG
3 - 1
VAL
59%
22%
20%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | +1 |