Smiltene vs JDFS Alberts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.1%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.4%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
66.7%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
11º
14º
13º
58
1º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 14 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Smiltene
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
SMI
0 - 3
SKA
27%
23%
50%
|
34 | 56 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
RIG
5 - 1
SMI
73%
17%
11%
|
34 | 71 | 37 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
SUP
2 - 3
SMI
85%
10%
5%
|
32 | 52 | 20 | +2 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
OUD
2 - 2
SMI
14%
16%
70%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
MAR
3 - 1
SMI
37%
21%
42%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
JDFS Alberts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
ALB
2 - 0
PRA
78%
15%
8%
|
63 | 42 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
ALB
3 - 2
VAL
51%
24%
25%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
ALB
1 - 2
PRA
75%
15%
10%
|
62 | 41 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
KFV
0 - 2
ALB
17%
22%
61%
|
62 | 33 | 29 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
TUK
1 - 4
ALB
26%
24%
51%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | 0 |