Smiltene vs JDFS Alberts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.1%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.4%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
66.8%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Smiltene
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
DRS
1 - 1
SMI
70%
15%
14%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
SMI
0 - 2
SAL
37%
21%
42%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
GRO
7 - 2
SMI
92%
6%
2%
|
32 | 58 | 26 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
SMI
0 - 5
18%
21%
62%
|
33 | 65 | 32 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
RFA
5 - 2
SMI
79%
13%
8%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
JDFS Alberts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
TUK
0 - 5
ALB
38%
26%
36%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
DRS
0 - 1
ALB
21%
24%
56%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
SAL
0 - 0
ALB
18%
23%
60%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
ALB
2 - 1
GRO
27%
23%
50%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
ALB
0 - 1
27%
27%
47%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | -1 |