Smiltene vs JDFS Alberts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.5%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
17%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Smiltene
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
SMI
3 - 3
RTU
30%
22%
48%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
REZ
6 - 0
SMI
67%
17%
15%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -2 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
SMI
3 - 2
PRE
89%
8%
4%
|
47 | 24 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
BAL
1 - 2
SMI
11%
14%
76%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | +2 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
RTU
5 - 0
SMI
56%
21%
23%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
JDFS Alberts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
FCD
4 - 0
ALB
88%
9%
3%
|
44 | 73 | 29 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
STA
0 - 1
ALB
15%
20%
65%
|
44 | 22 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
ALB
0 - 4
RTU
26%
23%
51%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -2 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
REZ
4 - 3
ALB
72%
17%
12%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
PRE
0 - 5
ALB
22%
22%
57%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | +1 |