Smiltene vs Daugava Riga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.8%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.3%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.4%
76.8%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
16.3%
0-4
6.5%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.9%
0-5
3.5%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.9%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Smiltene
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2014 |
RIN
0 - 2
SMI
15%
19%
66%
|
43 | 15 | 28 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2014 |
SAL
0 - 0
SMI
45%
24%
31%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2014 |
FKJ
1 - 1
SMI
51%
23%
27%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2014 |
VAR
5 - 0
SMI
71%
17%
11%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2014 |
PRE
2 - 1
SMI
48%
23%
29%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Daugava Riga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2014 |
FCJ
0 - 6
FKD
19%
23%
59%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2014 |
FKD
0 - 3
ABE
31%
25%
44%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2014 |
ABE
5 - 0
FKD
51%
26%
24%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2014 |
BFC
0 - 1
FKD
30%
25%
45%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2014 |
FCS
5 - 1
FKD
61%
22%
17%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | -1 |