Smiltene vs BFC Daugavpils analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
33.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Smiltene
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
AUD
2 - 1
SMI
73%
17%
11%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
SMI
1 - 6
VAL
25%
22%
53%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
SMI
0 - 2
GRO
33%
24%
43%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
SMI
3 - 0
SAL
93%
5%
2%
|
44 | 17 | 27 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
SMI
1 - 0
VAL
19%
19%
62%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
BFC Daugavpils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
VAL
1 - 0
BFC
71%
17%
12%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2017 |
STA
0 - 2
BFC
22%
24%
54%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | +2 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
CAR
3 - 0
BFC
80%
14%
7%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2017 |
RIG
4 - 0
BFC
83%
12%
6%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2017 |
CAR
3 - 1
BFC
78%
15%
7%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | 0 |