Smiltene vs Augšdaugava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
88.1%
Win probability
3.84
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.1%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.5%
7-0
2.2%
8-1
0.9%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.3%
6-0
4.1%
7-1
1.9%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.4%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
3.5%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
10.8%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
5.4%
6-2
1.5%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.5%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.4%
7.5%
Draw
0-0
0.9%
1-1
3%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
7.5%
4.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+96%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
6º
11º
10º
6
9º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
28 | 56 |
1º
|
86% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 47 |
2º
|
28% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 44 |
3º
|
23% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 44 |
4º
|
20.5% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 41 |
5º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 40 |
6º
|
14% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 37 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 36 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 35 |
9º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
16 | 34 |
10º
|
25% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 27 |
11º
|
22.5% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 25 |
12º
|
26% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 25 |
13º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
6 | 15 |
14º
|
80.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
2% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
89.5% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
6.5% | 6% |
|
Relegation
|
2% | 93.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Smiltene
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
ALB
5 - 3
SMI
81%
13%
6%
|
40 | 68 | 28 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
TUK
1 - 2
SMI
39%
20%
41%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
SMI
3 - 1
OUD
48%
23%
29%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | +3 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
KFV
2 - 1
SMI
43%
24%
33%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
SMI
4 - 2
PRA
30%
22%
48%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | +3 |
Matches
Augšdaugava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2025 |
AUG
4 - 1
PRA
8%
12%
80%
|
15 | 44 | 29 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2025 |
PRA
3 - 1
AUG
78%
13%
9%
|
15 | 43 | 28 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
AUG
1 - 5
FKB
19%
19%
62%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
RFA
1 - 0
AUG
86%
9%
5%
|
16 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
TUK
3 - 1
AUG
87%
9%
4%
|
16 | 39 | 23 | 0 |