Intertoto Cup 1/16
Global 11-0
Smederevo vs Sant Julià analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.4%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
26.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Smederevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2004 |
SJU
0 - 8
SME
60%
21%
19%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2004 |
SME
3 - 5
CRV
47%
27%
26%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2004 |
ZET
4 - 0
SME
48%
26%
26%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
SME
1 - 0
HAJ
52%
26%
22%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
NAP
0 - 1
SME
46%
26%
28%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sant Julià
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2004 |
SJU
0 - 8
SME
60%
21%
19%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
FCE
0 - 4
SJU
36%
25%
40%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
FCR
0 - 1
SJU
29%
24%
47%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
SJU
1 - 1
SCO
55%
22%
23%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
SJU
2 - 1
FCE
62%
20%
18%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |