Smederevo vs Real Podunavci analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.5%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.8%
4-0
9.8%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.7%
3-0
14%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.6%
3.9%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+67%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
77
1º
4º
1º
33
4º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
77 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
73 | 73 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Smederevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2023 |
TUT
1 - 2
SME
10%
19%
71%
|
55 | 34 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
SME
2 - 1
SLO
87%
10%
3%
|
55 | 29 | 26 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
BUD
0 - 2
SME
11%
19%
70%
|
55 | 34 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
SME
3 - 0
PRI
84%
12%
5%
|
55 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
BOR
2 - 1
SME
36%
26%
39%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Real Podunavci
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2023 |
PLJ
2 - 1
FRP
47%
23%
31%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
FRP
3 - 0
TUT
37%
23%
40%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | +2 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
SLO
2 - 0
FRP
31%
24%
45%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | -2 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
FRP
0 - 0
BUD
51%
23%
27%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
PRI
3 - 0
FRP
55%
21%
24%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -2 |