Smederevo vs Mačva 1929 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.2%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22.1%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.4%
5.4%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Smederevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2021 |
BUA
1 - 2
SME
19%
24%
58%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
SME
5 - 0
SAR
85%
12%
4%
|
64 | 22 | 42 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
ZEL
1 - 0
SME
9%
20%
71%
|
65 | 33 | 32 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
JED
3 - 0
SME
12%
25%
63%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
SME
7 - 0
BRA
83%
13%
4%
|
66 | 17 | 49 | 0 |
Matches
Mačva 1929
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2021 |
MAC
1 - 0
BRA
89%
8%
3%
|
40 | 14 | 26 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
TAK
2 - 1
MAC
43%
26%
32%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
MAC
0 - 1
TUT
53%
24%
24%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
BUD
2 - 0
MAC
50%
25%
26%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
MAC
2 - 1
SLO
47%
24%
29%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +1 |