Smederevo vs Tutin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.2%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.3%
8.4%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
77
1º
4º
1º
41
3º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
77 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
73 | 73 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Smederevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
SLO
1 - 1
SME
6%
16%
79%
|
57 | 30 | 27 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
SME
2 - 0
BUD
87%
10%
3%
|
57 | 38 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
PRI
1 - 1
SME
6%
16%
78%
|
57 | 30 | 27 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
SME
0 - 0
BOR
63%
21%
17%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
MAC
1 - 3
SME
9%
19%
72%
|
57 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Tutin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
TUT
1 - 0
FRP
52%
25%
24%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
TUT
2 - 0
PLJ
71%
18%
11%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
SLO
0 - 2
TUT
22%
24%
54%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
TUT
1 - 1
BUD
57%
25%
19%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
PRI
2 - 1
TUT
18%
23%
60%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | -2 |