Smederevo vs Budučnost Krušik analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.5%
4-0
10.5%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.5%
3-0
14.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.7%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.4%
9.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
9.7%
3.3%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
77
1º
4º
1º
37
6º
16º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
77 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
73 | 73 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Smederevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
PRI
1 - 1
SME
6%
16%
78%
|
57 | 30 | 27 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
SME
0 - 0
BOR
63%
21%
17%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
MAC
1 - 3
SME
9%
19%
72%
|
57 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
SME
3 - 0
MLA
89%
9%
3%
|
57 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
BUA
1 - 3
SME
10%
18%
72%
|
57 | 35 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Budučnost Krušik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
BUD
0 - 0
FRP
42%
23%
36%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
TUT
1 - 1
BUD
57%
25%
19%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
BUD
1 - 0
SLO
61%
21%
18%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
BUD
3 - 2
PLJ
65%
20%
15%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
PRI
0 - 0
BUD
25%
25%
50%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |