Smedby vs Rågsveds analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
42.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
4º
11º
10º
32
1º
3º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
32 | 56 |
1º
|
74.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
32 | 50 |
2º
|
34.5% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 48 |
3º
|
24% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 45 |
4º
|
23% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 43 |
5º
|
25.5% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 43 |
6º
|
19.5% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 38 |
7º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 33 |
8º
|
20.5% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 30 |
9º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
15 | 29 |
10º
|
12.5% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 28 |
11º
|
19.5% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 26 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 26 |
13º
|
23% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 13 |
14º
|
88.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 12% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 34.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
64% | 53.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
20.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
15.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Smedby
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2025 |
BKF
3 - 3
SME
60%
20%
20%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2025 |
SME
0 - 3
ATV
21%
23%
57%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | -2 |
| 16 Jun. 2025 |
NYK
0 - 1
SME
62%
18%
20%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2025 |
SME
1 - 1
SYR
32%
22%
46%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2025 |
FOF
2 - 1
SME
58%
19%
23%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Rågsveds
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
RIF
5 - 2
EIF
83%
11%
6%
|
45 | 21 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
RIF
0 - 0
NYK
54%
22%
24%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2025 |
ENS
1 - 2
RIF
46%
24%
30%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2025 |
RIF
0 - 2
ATV
44%
24%
32%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
SYL
2 - 1
RIF
51%
23%
26%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |