Smedby vs Farsta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
33.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+46%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
7º
13º
9º
28
6º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 35 |
5º
|
57.5% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
62.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 34 |
7º
|
9% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 34 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
29 | 32 |
9º
|
43.5% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 31 |
10º
|
27% | |
|
|
12º
|
28 | 29 |
11º
|
21.5% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
49% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
13º
|
76% | |
|
|
14º
|
19 | 19 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
97% | 54.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
1.5% | 36% |
|
Relegation
|
1.5% | 9.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Smedby
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
SLE
3 - 2
SME
63%
20%
17%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
SME
0 - 2
MFF
4%
12%
84%
|
40 | 82 | 42 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
SME
0 - 3
HAN
30%
25%
45%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -2 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
ESK
1 - 2
SME
49%
23%
28%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
MAI
2 - 1
SME
34%
24%
41%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Farsta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
FOF
2 - 1
HUD
36%
24%
40%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
NAI
1 - 1
FOF
22%
20%
58%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
FOF
1 - 0
70%
16%
14%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
FOF
2 - 1
NYK
21%
21%
59%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | +2 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
ASI
1 - 2
FOF
36%
22%
43%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | +1 |