Varnsdorf vs Semily analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.3%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
16.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varnsdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
SML
0 - 3
SLO
36%
26%
38%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2003 |
SLO
1 - 1
VSN
64%
21%
16%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2003 |
SLO
2 - 1
TAT
45%
25%
30%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2003 |
BOH
1 - 0
SLO
44%
25%
31%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2003 |
SLO
1 - 0
KOL
57%
23%
20%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Semily
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2003 |
SEM
0 - 0
SSM
60%
21%
19%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2003 |
CBJ
3 - 3
SEM
59%
22%
19%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2003 |
SEM
2 - 0
SML
42%
24%
34%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2003 |
SEM
3 - 1
LET
50%
24%
26%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2003 |
HRA
0 - 2
SEM
55%
23%
22%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +2 |